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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.28+4.33vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.15+4.45vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.60+4.73vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.05+1.95vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+2.58vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37+1.20vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75-2.97vs Predicted
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80.07-2.19vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.80-0.81vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.45-5.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99-2.12vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.01-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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6.45Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.73Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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7.58Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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7.2SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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5.810.070.1%1st Place
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8.19Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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4.76Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.1Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
| Sam Carson | 19.4% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Marc Leyk | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 17.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 28.1% |
| Robert Upton | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.