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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.28+4.43vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+2.16vs Predicted
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30.07+3.01vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.15+2.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99+3.82vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+1.72vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.60+0.66vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.78vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.80-0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.05-4.08vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.45-6.00vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.01-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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4.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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6.010.070.1%1st Place
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6.59Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.72Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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7.66Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.22SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.28Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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5.0Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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6.18Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Sam Carson | 16.0% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Marc Leyk | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Aubrey Walton | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 28.2% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 12.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.5% |
| Luke Barker | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 19.2% |
| Samuel Stephens | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Robert Upton | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.