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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.28+3.74vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.15+3.94vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+0.61vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.45+0.32vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.01+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.05-0.74vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-0.13vs Predicted
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9Williams College-0.60-0.98vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.80-1.47vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.06-4.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Webb Institute1.910.4%1st Place
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5.74University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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6.94Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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4.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.1%1st Place
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5.32Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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6.49Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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7.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.02Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.53Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.76SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 39.1% | 25.3% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Sam Carson | 10.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Robert Upton | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Stephens | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 20.4% |
| Luke Barker | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Aubrey Walton | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.