Race 1A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Steel 19.8% 17.9% 16.3% 14.3% 12.9% 8.8% 5.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Gordon Wolcott 29.1% 23.1% 18.3% 13.2% 9.5% 3.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 7.8% 8.5% 10.7% 9.6% 14.1% 16.7% 16.1% 10.8% 4.9% 0.8%
Arthur Bailey IV 8.7% 11.4% 13.4% 13.8% 13.2% 15.8% 12.7% 6.6% 4.0% 0.4%
Margaret McMullen 2.0% 1.8% 3.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.5% 7.7% 13.6% 25.9% 33.2%
Clifton Kartner 3.0% 2.8% 3.3% 5.0% 5.4% 7.3% 11.5% 21.2% 24.0% 16.5%
Adam Keally 8.7% 11.3% 12.0% 14.4% 14.2% 16.4% 11.3% 8.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Nick Balta 4.1% 4.6% 5.8% 7.7% 9.4% 12.4% 18.1% 16.4% 14.2% 7.3%
Harmen Rockler 1.4% 1.1% 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 4.5% 7.2% 14.9% 22.4% 40.8%
Arielle DeLisser 15.4% 17.5% 14.3% 17.0% 14.2% 9.1% 7.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.