Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Palamara 14.7% 14.8% 14.6% 12.0% 12.1% 10.4% 8.2% 7.5% 4.1% 1.4%
Aston Atherton 20.0% 18.5% 14.8% 14.0% 10.0% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 2.5% 0.8%
Bryan Lawrence 7.3% 9.4% 10.0% 9.8% 11.3% 11.3% 11.8% 11.7% 10.3% 7.0%
Kennedy Jones 10.2% 10.8% 9.4% 10.8% 10.7% 12.1% 12.2% 11.4% 7.2% 5.1%
Connor Lothrop 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 10.2% 10.7% 11.5% 11.9% 11.6% 11.0% 6.1%
Iain Shand 15.2% 14.4% 15.3% 14.4% 11.2% 10.8% 8.6% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0%
Charlotte Stillman 8.6% 8.1% 10.2% 9.3% 10.0% 11.6% 10.7% 12.6% 11.4% 7.6%
Kayla Maguire 7.9% 8.2% 8.0% 9.5% 11.1% 11.1% 11.8% 12.3% 11.8% 8.3%
Collin Ross 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 7.0% 7.1% 9.1% 12.2% 20.0% 25.2%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.4% 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 6.0% 5.9% 8.3% 10.6% 18.5% 37.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.