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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+4.02vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute0.07+3.92vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.28+1.40vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.15+1.58vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.60+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.05-1.09vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.01-1.95vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.99-1.25vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-3.19vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.80-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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5.92Webb Institute0.070.1%1st Place
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.2%1st Place
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5.4University of Texas0.280.1%1st Place
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6.58Princeton University-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.88Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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6.05Fordham University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.13SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.81Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.43Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Sam Carson | 19.4% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 14.3% |
| Samuel Stephens | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Robert Upton | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Luke Barker | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 26.2% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.