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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.72+0.96vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.21+2.68vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.23-1.69vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.77+0.12vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.36-1.52vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.43+0.20vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.27-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of Wisconsin1.040.3%1st Place
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2.96University of Michigan0.720.2%1st Place
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5.68Miami University-1.210.0%1st Place
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2.31Northwestern University1.230.3%1st Place
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5.12Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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4.48Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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7.2Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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5.77Purdue University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 29.6% | 26.1% | 22.3% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Webster | 19.6% | 22.4% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Drobny | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 28.5% | 13.1% |
| Jake Weinstein | 33.1% | 28.2% | 21.3% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 6.7% |
| Antonio Priskich | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 64.3% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 17.7% | 22.0% | 26.7% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.