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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+1.48vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.23+0.31vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.36+1.46vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.27+1.83vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.21+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.72-3.07vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.77-1.88vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.43-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Wisconsin1.040.3%1st Place
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2.31Northwestern University1.230.3%1st Place
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4.46Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.83Purdue University-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.72Miami University-1.210.0%1st Place
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2.93University of Michigan0.720.2%1st Place
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5.12Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.15Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 29.7% | 24.3% | 23.9% | 15.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 32.8% | 29.5% | 20.9% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 26.3% | 16.3% |
| Jenna Drobny | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 23.7% | 25.3% | 13.8% |
| Gavin Webster | 19.6% | 23.2% | 22.4% | 20.1% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.8% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 18.8% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.