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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+1.47vs Predicted
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2Miami University-1.21+3.74vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.27+2.74vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.23-1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.72-2.07vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.36-1.53vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.77-1.85vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.43-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Wisconsin1.040.3%1st Place
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5.74Miami University-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.74Purdue University-1.270.0%1st Place
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2.34Northwestern University1.230.3%1st Place
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2.93University of Michigan0.720.2%1st Place
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4.47Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.15Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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7.17Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 30.9% | 23.4% | 24.1% | 14.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Drobny | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 22.4% | 26.5% | 14.3% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 21.6% | 27.1% | 14.8% |
| Jake Weinstein | 32.6% | 28.8% | 20.7% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Webster | 18.3% | 25.7% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Antonio Priskich | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 22.3% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.