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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College2.88+2.17vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.90+1.14vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University1.95+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.63-1.72vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-1.56vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.52-0.89vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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3.14Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.53Rutgers University1.950.1%1st Place
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2.28University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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3.44Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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5.11Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.33Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kennedy | 20.0% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Allison Tracy | 16.9% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Cassie Botti | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 9.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 37.2% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 13.8% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 9.1% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Bergan | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 35.1% | 17.2% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.