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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+4.92vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+6.38vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+0.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+2.52vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+3.12vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+5.59vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.05+2.29vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.77-3.48vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71+1.63vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.26+0.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.95vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-3.58vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.50vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.51-6.80vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.70-4.89vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.43-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Cornell University2.3810.3%1st Place
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8.38University of South Florida1.604.1%1st Place
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3.1Stanford University3.3028.7%1st Place
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6.52Boston College2.097.3%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College2.105.4%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.4%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University2.104.2%1st Place
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10.29University of Hawaii1.053.4%1st Place
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9.35Boston University1.143.4%1st Place
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6.52University of Pennsylvania1.778.8%1st Place
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12.63Fordham University0.711.7%1st Place
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12.92North Carolina State University0.261.5%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.2%1st Place
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10.42Old Dominion University0.973.0%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.4%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College1.514.7%1st Place
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12.11University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
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16.53University of Texas-1.430.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 28.7% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 8.1% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 8.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 5.1% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.