Race 2A

maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Clifton Kartner 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 4.6% 4.8% 8.1% 13.1% 19.1% 23.3% 17.2%
Tyler Steel 17.8% 18.2% 17.7% 13.4% 13.6% 9.9% 5.5% 3.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Arielle DeLisser 15.9% 15.1% 15.2% 17.6% 14.6% 10.2% 6.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Nick Balta 3.4% 4.5% 5.6% 8.0% 9.0% 11.0% 18.7% 19.0% 14.5% 6.3%
Adam Keally 9.9% 10.9% 13.6% 13.4% 13.5% 16.2% 10.4% 7.2% 3.7% 1.2%
Gordon Wolcott 30.8% 23.2% 16.9% 13.0% 8.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 8.4% 11.4% 12.5% 14.4% 15.2% 14.8% 12.6% 7.7% 2.2% 0.8%
Scott Lubliner 7.8% 10.7% 10.7% 10.6% 13.6% 15.8% 14.1% 10.9% 4.3% 1.5%
Margaret McMullen 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 4.1% 4.8% 9.1% 15.1% 26.4% 32.4%
Harmen Rockler 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 4.5% 8.1% 13.2% 24.4% 40.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.