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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.20vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.02+2.60vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.21+1.67vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.20+0.32vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.32-0.57vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.78vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.47-3.86vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-3.22vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.99-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Hampton University0.7215.0%1st Place
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3.84Christopher Newport University0.6017.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Virginia0.028.4%1st Place
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5.67William and Mary-0.218.7%1st Place
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5.32Washington College0.209.8%1st Place
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5.43Princeton University-0.329.7%1st Place
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7.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.9%1st Place
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4.14Drexel University0.4717.0%1st Place
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5.78Rochester Institute of Technology-0.647.9%1st Place
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7.24Syracuse University-0.993.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stefano Palamara | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
Aston Atherton | 17.1% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Connor Lothrop | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
Charlotte Stillman | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
Kennedy Jones | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
Bryan Lawrence | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 36.4% |
Iain Shand | 17.0% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
Kayla Maguire | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
Collin Ross | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.