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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.57+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.47+2.31vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.12+2.33vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.44-1.18vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.38-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.04-2.61vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.36-1.25vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.50-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Michigan-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.33Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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2.82Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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2.9Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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3.39University of Wisconsin0.040.2%1st Place
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5.75Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.15Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathanael Green | 9.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 10.6% | 3.8% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 23.7% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 25.4% | 22.7% | 21.6% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Luke Adams | 25.9% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Caden Harrison | 17.8% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 28.4% | 17.7% |
| George Prokop | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 17.7% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.