← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University0.72+3.30vs Predicted
-
2Washington College0.20+3.26vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.60+0.74vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary-0.21+1.65vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.47-0.95vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia0.02-0.40vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.72vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University-0.99-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-3.02vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University-0.32-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3Hampton University0.7214.9%1st Place
-
5.26Washington College0.209.3%1st Place
-
3.74Christopher Newport University0.6018.4%1st Place
-
5.65William and Mary-0.219.0%1st Place
-
4.05Drexel University0.4716.6%1st Place
-
5.6University of Virginia0.027.6%1st Place
-
7.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.603.8%1st Place
-
7.23Syracuse University-0.994.2%1st Place
-
5.98Rochester Institute of Technology-0.647.3%1st Place
-
5.47Princeton University-0.328.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stefano Palamara | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
Kennedy Jones | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
Aston Atherton | 18.4% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
Charlotte Stillman | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
Iain Shand | 16.6% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
Connor Lothrop | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 36.6% |
Collin Ross | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 25.7% |
Kayla Maguire | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
Bryan Lawrence | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.