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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.38+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.47+1.78vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44-0.48vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.12+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.04-1.90vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.50+0.32vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.36-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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3.78University of Michigan-0.470.1%1st Place
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2.52Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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4.76Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Wisconsin0.040.2%1st Place
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6.32Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.91Miami University-1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Adams | 28.4% | 25.9% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 10.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 31.8% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 21.6% | 28.1% | 12.1% |
| Caden Harrison | 18.1% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 19.5% | 13.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| George Prokop | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 67.0% |
| Simon Peroulas | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 20.7% | 32.6% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.