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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.47+2.75vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.44+0.52vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.12+1.71vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.38-1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.04-1.90vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.50-0.69vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.36-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of Michigan-0.470.1%1st Place
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2.52Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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4.71Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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2.66Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Wisconsin0.040.2%1st Place
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6.31Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.95Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Peloquin | 12.5% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 12.5% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 30.2% | 24.6% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ella Sligh | 6.7% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 23.6% | 27.6% | 11.7% |
| Luke Adams | 27.3% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Caden Harrison | 17.8% | 21.8% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| George Prokop | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 66.7% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 33.3% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.