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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.04+2.36vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.38+0.91vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.12+2.33vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.57+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.47-0.72vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.44-3.23vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.36-1.26vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.50-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Wisconsin0.040.2%1st Place
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2.91Clemson University0.380.2%1st Place
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5.33Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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4.46Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Michigan-0.470.1%1st Place
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2.77Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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5.74Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.16Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Harrison | 18.9% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Luke Adams | 23.9% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 23.7% | 11.7% |
| Nathanael Green | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 26.5% | 23.6% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 27.2% | 18.2% |
| George Prokop | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 19.3% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.