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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.47+3.16vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.12+3.42vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.04-0.57vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.57-0.54vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.38-3.15vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.36-1.24vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.50-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of Michigan-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.42Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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2.78Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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3.43University of Wisconsin0.040.2%1st Place
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4.46Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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2.85Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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5.76Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.15Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Peloquin | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 12.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 27.2% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caden Harrison | 17.5% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Nathanael Green | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 3.2% |
| Luke Adams | 25.8% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 27.7% | 17.5% |
| George Prokop | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 18.2% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.