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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.44+1.50vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.38+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.04+0.08vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.12-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.47-2.17vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.36-1.94vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.50-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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2.58Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Wisconsin0.040.2%1st Place
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4.75Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Michigan-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.06Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.21Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Chesemore | 31.7% | 25.9% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Luke Adams | 27.9% | 25.2% | 22.9% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Caden Harrison | 19.2% | 20.6% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 23.3% | 28.4% | 11.3% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 4.4% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 32.0% | 17.9% |
| George Prokop | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.