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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.47+2.73vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.44+0.52vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.12+1.73vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.38-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.04-1.89vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.36-0.93vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.50-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Michigan-0.470.1%1st Place
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2.52Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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4.73Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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2.67Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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3.11University of Wisconsin0.040.2%1st Place
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5.07Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.17Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Peloquin | 12.7% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 29.8% | 26.3% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ella Sligh | 6.6% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 24.8% | 26.7% | 12.4% |
| Luke Adams | 27.0% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caden Harrison | 18.1% | 20.9% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Simon Peroulas | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 31.5% | 18.4% |
| George Prokop | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.