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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.57+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.04+1.02vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.09+0.71vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.38-2.38vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.36-0.93vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.50-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Purdue University-0.570.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Wisconsin0.040.2%1st Place
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2.48Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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4.71University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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2.62Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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5.07Miami University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.2Michigan State University-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathanael Green | 10.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 5.1% |
| Caden Harrison | 18.5% | 23.1% | 20.9% | 20.4% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 31.2% | 24.0% | 21.7% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| John McCalmont | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 23.4% | 27.8% | 10.6% |
| Luke Adams | 28.0% | 24.5% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.6% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 20.9% | 32.6% | 17.6% |
| George Prokop | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.