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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Palamara 14.9% 13.9% 13.1% 14.1% 11.2% 11.8% 9.0% 7.1% 3.4% 1.5%
Iain Shand 15.1% 14.4% 14.6% 12.6% 12.8% 11.5% 7.6% 5.9% 4.2% 1.2%
Kennedy Jones 10.4% 11.2% 10.4% 11.1% 11.8% 10.9% 11.3% 10.2% 8.2% 4.6%
Aston Atherton 19.1% 18.6% 16.2% 13.4% 10.9% 8.8% 6.6% 4.0% 2.0% 0.5%
Connor Lothrop 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 8.9% 9.9% 11.2% 12.1% 13.0% 11.2% 5.9%
Bryan Lawrence 8.3% 9.0% 9.3% 11.3% 10.3% 10.5% 11.5% 12.6% 10.1% 7.0%
Charlotte Stillman 7.8% 8.1% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 11.1% 12.8% 12.2% 11.7% 7.7%
Kayla Maguire 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 9.8% 10.8% 11.1% 10.9% 12.6% 11.8% 7.5%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.7% 5.5% 6.1% 8.0% 10.2% 16.7% 39.1%
Collin Ross 4.0% 4.2% 5.6% 4.8% 6.3% 7.0% 10.2% 12.4% 20.8% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.