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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.30vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+2.22vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.20+2.13vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.60-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.02+0.57vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.32-0.43vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.21-1.25vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-2.30vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.18vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.99-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Hampton University0.7214.9%1st Place
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4.22Drexel University0.4715.1%1st Place
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5.13Washington College0.2010.4%1st Place
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3.66Christopher Newport University0.6019.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Virginia0.028.9%1st Place
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5.57Princeton University-0.328.3%1st Place
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5.75William and Mary-0.217.8%1st Place
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5.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.648.6%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.9%1st Place
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7.27Syracuse University-0.994.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stefano Palamara | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
Iain Shand | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
Kennedy Jones | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
Aston Atherton | 19.1% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Connor Lothrop | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
Bryan Lawrence | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
Charlotte Stillman | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
Kayla Maguire | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.5% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 39.1% |
Collin Ross | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.