Race 4A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gordon Wolcott 31.4% 22.3% 17.0% 11.9% 9.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2%
Arielle DeLisser 15.5% 16.4% 16.9% 15.4% 12.5% 12.3% 5.9% 4.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 17.6% 16.5% 16.4% 17.2% 14.4% 8.7% 5.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 8.5% 11.4% 13.7% 13.4% 13.8% 14.8% 12.5% 8.4% 3.2% 0.3%
Margaret McMullen 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 4.1% 3.9% 5.4% 9.5% 13.2% 23.6% 34.1%
Nick Balta 5.3% 4.6% 6.2% 6.0% 8.4% 12.5% 18.5% 18.5% 13.0% 7.0%
Adam Keally 8.9% 12.6% 11.6% 13.8% 14.9% 15.2% 12.1% 7.2% 3.1% 0.6%
Scott Lubliner 7.4% 10.6% 10.6% 11.4% 14.9% 12.7% 13.7% 12.9% 4.1% 1.7%
Clifton Kartner 2.5% 2.1% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 8.8% 12.7% 19.8% 25.7% 16.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.2% 4.7% 7.3% 12.4% 25.2% 40.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.