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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.26+3.32vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.03+0.78vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-0.02+1.98vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.54-0.20vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.24-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89+0.69vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-0.68vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-2.70vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.01-0.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.29+0.23vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Queen's University0.260.1%1st Place
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2.78Cornell University1.030.3%1st Place
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4.98Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.8Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.27Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.32Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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8.68Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
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8.64Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Hill | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 30.1% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Murphy | 15.3% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 13.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Ashley Franklin | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 0.7% |
| Cole Bender | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Mary Morris | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 21.9% | 30.2% | 16.5% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 18.0% | 65.3% |
| Margaret Arocho | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 30.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.