Race 2A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joseph Murphy 15.8% 18.1% 15.1% 14.9% 15.8% 10.1% 6.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Boris Bialer 30.5% 21.2% 16.8% 15.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Bender 7.4% 7.0% 9.8% 9.1% 11.3% 14.8% 15.8% 14.4% 7.6% 2.8% 0.0%
Julian Hill 11.4% 12.9% 12.1% 16.9% 14.6% 12.7% 9.8% 6.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Abby Eckert 4.5% 4.6% 6.9% 5.0% 8.1% 11.6% 14.4% 18.9% 16.6% 8.1% 1.3%
Ashley Franklin 3.7% 6.0% 5.9% 8.1% 7.9% 12.0% 15.5% 16.4% 14.4% 8.2% 1.9%
Anthony Farrar 14.0% 14.5% 15.6% 13.8% 12.5% 11.4% 10.3% 4.5% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 9.9% 11.8% 13.1% 12.5% 14.2% 13.2% 11.5% 8.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Mary Morris 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 11.5% 22.1% 31.8% 14.6%
Margaret Arocho 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 3.6% 3.9% 6.4% 11.7% 21.8% 31.1% 14.5%
Gabriel Kunze 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 2.5% 4.3% 6.3% 15.9% 67.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.