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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.03+1.82vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+3.41vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24+1.40vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80+2.63vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.26-0.77vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.02-1.18vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89-0.53vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.01+0.60vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.54-5.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.29+0.24vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Cornell University1.030.3%1st Place
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5.41Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.4Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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6.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
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4.23Queen's University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.82Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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8.6Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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3.76Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
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8.63Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 27.5% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.0% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Franklin | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Julian Hill | 14.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Abby Eckert | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Mary Morris | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 30.7% | 15.2% |
| Joseph Murphy | 17.1% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 67.2% |
| Margaret Arocho | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 21.3% | 32.6% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.