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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.03+1.86vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+3.38vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24+1.42vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80+2.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.89+1.59vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.26-1.74vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.02-2.34vs Predicted
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8Penn State University0.54-4.41vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.01-0.34vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-1.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Cornell University1.030.3%1st Place
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5.38Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.42Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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6.67Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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4.26Queen's University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.66Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.59Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
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8.66Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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8.65Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 26.4% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Farrar | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Julian Hill | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 18.0% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Morris | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 22.1% | 31.5% | 14.7% |
| Margaret Arocho | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 30.9% | 14.6% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 16.6% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.