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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.03+1.91vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80+4.61vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.67vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.02+1.05vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.54-1.28vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend0.24-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89-0.40vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.26-3.79vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.01-0.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.29+0.31vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.38-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Cornell University1.030.3%1st Place
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6.61Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.67Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.05Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.72Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.43Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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4.21Queen's University0.260.1%1st Place
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8.87Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
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7.62Rochester Institute of Technology-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 26.7% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 1.9% |
| Cole Bender | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Murphy | 18.0% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 1.6% |
| Julian Hill | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mary Morris | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 37.7% | 18.6% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 15.3% | 70.8% |
| Matthew Lefler | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 24.0% | 18.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.