Race 6A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joseph Murphy 16.1% 16.9% 15.2% 15.8% 13.8% 10.6% 6.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Cole Bender 7.5% 7.8% 9.0% 11.1% 13.2% 12.1% 12.8% 12.3% 10.0% 3.8% 0.4%
Boris Bialer 25.8% 23.5% 17.3% 13.2% 9.7% 5.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 12.8% 11.1% 13.5% 13.0% 15.0% 13.7% 9.9% 7.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Michael Stewart 11.1% 10.4% 11.7% 11.2% 12.5% 13.8% 11.5% 9.5% 6.4% 1.7% 0.2%
Ashley Franklin 3.6% 5.9% 6.1% 7.9% 7.3% 10.9% 13.6% 17.0% 17.1% 8.6% 2.0%
Julian Hill 15.1% 14.4% 14.3% 14.2% 12.5% 10.4% 10.2% 5.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Mary Morris 1.6% 0.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 4.7% 6.5% 11.1% 15.9% 35.7% 17.0%
Matthew Lefler 2.5% 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 3.7% 6.7% 10.4% 14.0% 21.6% 23.8% 6.5%
Gabriel Kunze 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 6.7% 13.9% 71.2%
Abby Eckert 3.6% 5.6% 6.8% 6.9% 9.1% 9.6% 13.6% 17.1% 14.8% 10.4% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.