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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.26+3.39vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.24+2.34vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.54+0.90vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.02+1.06vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.51vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.38+1.80vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.03-4.24vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-1.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.29+1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.89-3.35vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.01-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Queen's University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.34Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.9Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
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5.06Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.51Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.380.0%1st Place
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2.76Cornell University1.030.3%1st Place
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6.49Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.77Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Hill | 10.7% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 15.2% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Cole Bender | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Lefler | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 7.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 30.9% | 24.2% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 13.3% | 72.8% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Mary Morris | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 38.0% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.