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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.02+4.00vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.26+2.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.03-0.04vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.54-0.14vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80+1.61vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.42vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-1.38+0.59vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend0.24-3.77vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-0.89-2.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.29+0.31vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.01-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.29Queen's University0.260.1%1st Place
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2.96Cornell University1.030.3%1st Place
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3.86Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
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6.61Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.58Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.59Rochester Institute of Technology-1.380.0%1st Place
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4.23Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
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8.76Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Hill | 14.1% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 25.6% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 17.0% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Cole Bender | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Lefler | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 20.1% | 5.9% |
| Anthony Farrar | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 16.0% | 70.4% |
| Mary Morris | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 35.0% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.