Race 5A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arthur Bailey IV 7.2% 10.5% 12.1% 12.6% 14.4% 15.5% 14.4% 7.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Arielle DeLisser 16.1% 13.9% 17.3% 16.3% 11.8% 12.2% 6.1% 4.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 2.8% 1.3% 2.8% 4.0% 5.6% 7.1% 8.2% 15.1% 18.1% 20.4% 14.6%
Harmen Rockler 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 3.8% 3.9% 6.3% 8.1% 14.6% 20.1% 37.7%
Scott Lubliner 8.2% 8.3% 10.6% 10.7% 13.5% 14.0% 13.1% 10.9% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6%
Gordon Wolcott 28.4% 25.2% 15.7% 11.4% 9.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 18.6% 19.9% 17.3% 15.0% 11.4% 7.7% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Josh Sharaf 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 4.3% 4.3% 6.8% 10.6% 14.3% 16.7% 19.7% 16.0%
Nick Balta 4.4% 4.2% 4.6% 7.6% 8.6% 8.8% 15.3% 15.7% 15.9% 9.7% 5.2%
Adam Keally 9.6% 11.8% 12.8% 13.0% 14.0% 13.4% 10.5% 9.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Margaret McMullen 1.3% 1.5% 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 4.5% 7.7% 11.2% 17.9% 22.2% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.