Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Palamara 13.2% 15.6% 15.7% 13.2% 12.7% 10.8% 7.8% 7.1% 2.8% 1.1%
Kennedy Jones 10.2% 10.3% 9.7% 12.4% 12.4% 11.2% 11.6% 10.7% 8.0% 3.5%
Charlotte Stillman 9.2% 9.4% 9.0% 10.4% 10.1% 12.0% 12.8% 12.2% 10.1% 4.8%
Aston Atherton 20.4% 17.6% 16.1% 13.2% 11.8% 8.3% 6.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Iain Shand 17.4% 15.8% 14.2% 13.4% 11.1% 11.2% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9% 0.9%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.9% 2.9% 4.7% 4.8% 5.4% 6.3% 8.3% 11.8% 16.8% 36.2%
Bryan Lawrence 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 9.2% 11.4% 12.2% 12.4% 11.6% 9.4% 5.2%
Connor Lothrop 9.1% 8.6% 9.8% 9.7% 11.8% 10.8% 11.7% 11.3% 11.2% 6.0%
James Mercer 4.8% 5.1% 6.6% 7.2% 6.8% 8.5% 11.6% 13.2% 18.4% 17.8%
Collin Ross 3.6% 4.7% 5.0% 6.5% 6.7% 8.6% 10.0% 12.7% 18.6% 23.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.