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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.26+3.42vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.03+0.83vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-0.02+2.09vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.70vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.24-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89+0.85vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-1.38+0.61vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.80-1.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.29+1.31vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.01-1.25vs Predicted
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11Penn State University0.54-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Queen's University0.260.1%1st Place
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2.83Cornell University1.030.3%1st Place
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5.09Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.39Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.61Rochester Institute of Technology-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.44Rochester Institute of Technology-0.800.1%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
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8.75Syracuse University-2.010.0%1st Place
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3.6Penn State University0.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Hill | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 29.8% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cole Bender | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Lefler | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 5.7% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 1.5% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 73.3% |
| Mary Morris | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 38.0% | 14.9% |
| Joseph Murphy | 18.2% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.