Race 5B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marcus Greco 37.2% 29.0% 15.3% 9.4% 5.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla Maguire 9.8% 11.5% 17.2% 15.5% 18.8% 12.7% 8.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Defne Melikoglu 27.0% 27.6% 22.3% 13.9% 5.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Nill 6.2% 7.3% 11.5% 16.9% 15.2% 16.7% 14.3% 8.7% 2.9% 0.3%
Josh Elliott 8.2% 11.1% 13.2% 14.9% 18.0% 15.9% 10.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.9%
Elizabeth Price 4.6% 5.2% 5.4% 9.5% 10.6% 17.8% 16.2% 17.2% 10.9% 2.6%
Nicholas Gould 1.5% 1.4% 3.2% 4.7% 7.4% 8.4% 16.1% 24.1% 22.7% 10.5%
Joseph Simpkins 4.0% 5.2% 9.5% 11.4% 13.0% 16.1% 18.7% 13.6% 7.0% 1.5%
Finn Halstead 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 2.7% 3.4% 6.8% 12.2% 26.0% 44.5%
Gus Hankinson 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 2.3% 3.3% 4.1% 6.9% 14.1% 26.9% 39.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.