Race 6B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kayla Maguire 10.3% 13.1% 16.5% 16.8% 15.0% 13.7% 8.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Defne Melikoglu 28.1% 27.2% 21.3% 10.9% 8.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Price 3.5% 5.0% 6.7% 8.3% 10.4% 14.8% 21.5% 17.2% 10.2% 2.4%
Marcus Greco 35.1% 27.5% 19.7% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Nill 7.5% 8.2% 10.9% 14.5% 17.5% 16.4% 12.7% 8.3% 3.0% 1.0%
Josh Elliott 8.9% 9.1% 12.9% 17.1% 17.4% 14.7% 11.1% 6.4% 2.2% 0.2%
Nicholas Gould 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 5.3% 7.1% 10.3% 13.8% 23.7% 23.7% 10.6%
Joseph Simpkins 4.1% 6.4% 7.7% 10.7% 13.4% 18.5% 17.3% 14.1% 6.1% 1.7%
Gus Hankinson 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 2.5% 3.0% 4.4% 7.0% 13.6% 28.6% 38.3%
Finn Halstead 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 2.7% 3.1% 3.4% 6.4% 12.2% 24.5% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.