Race 7B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marcus Greco 38.7% 25.2% 17.8% 9.6% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla Maguire 9.4% 11.6% 17.6% 16.7% 15.7% 14.4% 8.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Defne Melikoglu 27.3% 27.6% 21.7% 12.4% 7.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Simpkins 3.7% 5.6% 7.9% 11.6% 13.1% 17.2% 18.4% 14.2% 7.1% 1.2%
Bryce Nill 6.6% 9.9% 11.3% 12.2% 17.6% 16.7% 14.0% 7.5% 3.4% 0.8%
Elizabeth Price 4.6% 5.7% 5.2% 9.2% 12.1% 14.6% 18.0% 17.2% 10.6% 2.8%
Josh Elliott 6.6% 10.2% 13.2% 17.6% 17.0% 15.2% 11.7% 6.5% 1.4% 0.6%
Nicholas Gould 1.5% 2.6% 3.3% 6.3% 6.2% 9.1% 14.8% 23.5% 20.9% 11.8%
Gus Hankinson 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.8% 7.4% 13.4% 29.2% 38.2%
Finn Halstead 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.6% 5.4% 12.8% 25.9% 44.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.