Race 8B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marcus Greco 38.5% 26.0% 17.7% 8.9% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla Maguire 9.5% 11.3% 17.8% 17.1% 15.6% 14.1% 8.6% 4.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Defne Melikoglu 27.3% 27.7% 21.5% 12.7% 6.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Simpkins 3.6% 5.5% 8.0% 11.0% 14.2% 17.1% 18.4% 13.8% 7.1% 1.3%
Josh Elliott 8.0% 11.5% 12.8% 14.1% 18.3% 16.3% 9.8% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6%
Elizabeth Price 4.7% 5.4% 5.1% 9.8% 12.2% 13.8% 19.0% 16.6% 10.6% 2.8%
Bryce Nill 5.3% 8.5% 11.6% 16.3% 14.8% 17.4% 13.5% 8.9% 2.9% 0.8%
Nicholas Gould 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 6.0% 6.3% 8.5% 15.8% 23.5% 20.6% 11.8%
Gus Hankinson 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 3.3% 3.6% 7.7% 13.2% 29.2% 38.2%
Finn Halstead 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 2.3% 3.0% 4.0% 5.1% 13.0% 26.0% 44.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.