Race 9B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marcus Greco 37.8% 28.1% 15.5% 10.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla Maguire 10.1% 10.8% 16.9% 15.1% 19.3% 13.0% 9.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Defne Melikoglu 28.1% 26.8% 20.6% 14.3% 6.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Elliott 6.9% 9.7% 13.3% 18.5% 17.2% 14.8% 11.6% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Joseph Simpkins 4.6% 7.3% 7.9% 9.6% 13.7% 16.0% 18.3% 14.7% 6.0% 1.9%
Nicholas Gould 1.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 9.5% 13.6% 23.2% 24.3% 10.4%
Elizabeth Price 3.2% 3.7% 6.8% 9.8% 11.9% 16.3% 19.6% 16.9% 9.5% 2.3%
Bryce Nill 6.3% 8.4% 12.5% 14.0% 15.5% 17.8% 12.7% 9.4% 2.8% 0.6%
Gus Hankinson 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 4.1% 6.7% 13.5% 28.7% 39.0%
Finn Halstead 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.9% 4.0% 6.6% 11.5% 25.7% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.