Race 6A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gordon Wolcott 28.5% 22.2% 17.4% 15.3% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Balta 4.1% 4.5% 5.7% 5.8% 8.4% 10.5% 14.7% 16.0% 13.6% 12.1% 4.6%
Tyler Steel 14.8% 18.3% 17.3% 13.9% 13.2% 11.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 14.9% 14.3% 16.7% 14.7% 14.1% 10.9% 8.3% 3.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Scott Lubliner 9.5% 8.6% 8.9% 11.8% 12.4% 13.4% 13.5% 10.7% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8%
Arthur Bailey IV 9.5% 11.5% 10.4% 14.0% 13.5% 13.4% 10.5% 8.4% 5.6% 2.8% 0.4%
Clifton Kartner 3.1% 3.8% 2.9% 3.8% 5.8% 8.1% 9.2% 13.6% 20.1% 16.7% 12.9%
Margaret McMullen 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 5.7% 8.2% 11.7% 14.1% 23.1% 26.4%
Harmen Rockler 1.4% 1.2% 2.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.4% 6.0% 9.6% 13.4% 19.9% 38.0%
Josh Sharaf 2.4% 1.9% 3.6% 4.3% 4.2% 5.1% 9.6% 15.2% 17.6% 19.7% 16.4%
Adam Keally 9.9% 12.2% 12.7% 12.2% 14.5% 12.9% 11.1% 7.5% 5.3% 1.3% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.