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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.42vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.14+3.57vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.85+3.97vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.65-0.49vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.48-1.10vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.29-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.14+0.88vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.57-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-2.51+2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.71-0.63vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.73-1.73vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-1.46-3.16vs Predicted
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13Saint Mary's College-2.41-2.12vs Predicted
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14Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Michigan Technological University0.9620.8%1st Place
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5.57Hope College-0.147.5%1st Place
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6.97Grand Valley State University-0.854.5%1st Place
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3.51Ohio State University0.6520.6%1st Place
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3.9Michigan State University0.4817.8%1st Place
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5.06Indiana University0.2910.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Michigan-1.143.1%1st Place
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6.39Purdue University-0.576.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Iowa-2.510.8%1st Place
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9.37University of Michigan-1.712.2%1st Place
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9.27Western Michigan University-1.732.2%1st Place
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8.84Northern Michigan University-1.462.6%1st Place
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10.88Saint Mary's College-2.411.4%1st Place
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12.8Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 20.8% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mason Shaw | 20.6% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 17.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| River Servia | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Holmes | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 24.3% | 16.5% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 4.0% |
| Keegan Aerts | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 13.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.