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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.18vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+1.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+1.51vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+2.27vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04+2.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.62+3.30vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.55-0.90vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.65+1.09vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.79+3.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.01vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.51vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.04vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.61vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.29-0.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.70vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.52-0.10vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.92-5.00vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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3.78Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.51Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.09Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.26Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.51St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.63Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.0Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.02Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.5% | 21.1% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 13.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 48.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.