← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.39+2.82vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.90vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.84+5.72vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.55+1.98vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.04+2.76vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.55+0.01vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.12-2.54vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.65+1.07vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University0.29+4.90vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.04vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University0.81+1.22vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.79+0.55vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.62-3.82vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.96vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.47-8.72vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.58vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.92-5.11vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan-0.52-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
-
7.9University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
5.98Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.76College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
-
6.01Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
4.46Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
9.07Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
13.9Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
-
14.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
12.22Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
12.55Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.18Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
6.28Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
12.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.89Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
15.76University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.4% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 5.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.