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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.25vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.14vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.12vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+1.91vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.04-0.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.37vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-1.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.55-4.91vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.77vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.06vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81-2.22vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-3.36vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.29-2.77vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.52-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.25Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.14Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.91Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.44College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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13.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.94St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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11.78Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.64Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.23Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 22.9% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.6% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Emily Allen | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 15.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Young | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.