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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.86vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+4.22vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+3.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+5.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12-0.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+7.84vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81+5.14vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.65+1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.26vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-4.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62-2.37vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.79-0.90vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.04-6.46vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.60vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.52-0.16vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.87-4.94vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.29-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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4.38Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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13.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.14Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.09Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.1Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.54College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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12.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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15.84University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.06Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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13.68Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.9% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.6% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| Emily Allen | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 6.4% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 46.6% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.