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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.89vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.51vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+1.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.53vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.52+6.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.98vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.29+2.87vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.65-2.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.87-1.17vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.62-5.04vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.81-2.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.60vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.45vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.79-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.55Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.51Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.75College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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15.84University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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13.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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13.87Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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9.47Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.83Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.55St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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12.08Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.5% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 46.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
| Emily Allen | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 5.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.