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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.28vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+1.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+3.23vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+4.42vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12-0.59vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+3.18vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.92+4.82vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-1.79vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-1.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.03vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.62-1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-3.84vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81-2.03vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-2.76vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.29-2.01vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.50vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.52-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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3.81Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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4.41Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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9.18Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.82Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.68College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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14.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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11.97Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.24Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.99Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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12.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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15.71University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 18.5% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 16.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 15.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.