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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.24vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+1.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+1.47vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+2.24vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+7.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+7.83vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.55-0.87vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.65+1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.52+6.82vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.81+2.34vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.92+0.90vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.34vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.71vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.62-4.96vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-7.23vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.84-7.37vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.29-3.05vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-10.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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3.82Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.47Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.2Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.1Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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15.82University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.34Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.29St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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13.95Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.9% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 15.9% |
| Sarah Young | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 45.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 14.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.