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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+1.81vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+6.44vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+1.96vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+1.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+7.89vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.69vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-2.01vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-1.25vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.81+2.37vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.29+2.86vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.92+0.06vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.56vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.82vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.62-5.75vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.64vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.60vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.52-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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3.81Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.44Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.96Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.75College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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12.37Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.86Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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12.06Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.4Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.72University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.7% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 15.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.