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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.43vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.85+5.06vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.65+0.42vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.48-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.14+2.89vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.29-1.12vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.57-0.44vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.14-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.71+0.31vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-2.51+1.34vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-1.46-2.18vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-1.73-2.86vs Predicted
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13Saint Mary's College-2.41-2.11vs Predicted
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14Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Michigan Technological University0.9621.8%1st Place
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7.06Grand Valley State University-0.853.8%1st Place
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3.42Ohio State University0.6520.4%1st Place
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3.91Michigan State University0.4815.9%1st Place
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7.89University of Michigan-1.143.0%1st Place
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4.88Indiana University0.2911.5%1st Place
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6.56Purdue University-0.576.9%1st Place
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5.57Hope College-0.148.8%1st Place
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9.31University of Michigan-1.712.2%1st Place
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11.34University of Iowa-2.510.5%1st Place
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8.82Northern Michigan University-1.462.4%1st Place
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9.14Western Michigan University-1.732.0%1st Place
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10.89Saint Mary's College-2.410.6%1st Place
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12.78Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 21.8% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 20.4% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 15.9% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 27.2% | 18.3% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 22.7% | 14.0% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.