Race 7A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Arthur Bailey IV 11.3% 10.8% 11.9% 12.9% 14.6% 13.6% 12.6% 8.6% 2.9% 0.8%
Gordon Wolcott 29.4% 22.7% 18.9% 13.4% 7.1% 4.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 16.5% 18.6% 16.0% 15.7% 13.8% 10.6% 6.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Adam Keally 9.5% 11.4% 12.8% 14.6% 14.1% 15.1% 11.5% 7.1% 3.3% 0.6%
Arielle DeLisser 15.8% 16.6% 18.2% 15.2% 13.2% 9.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.6%
Nick Balta 5.2% 4.6% 5.0% 6.7% 8.5% 13.6% 18.3% 17.3% 14.5% 6.3%
Clifton Kartner 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 6.2% 8.8% 12.5% 20.4% 23.0% 18.1%
Scott Lubliner 7.5% 10.1% 10.4% 11.8% 15.7% 13.3% 14.9% 10.3% 4.8% 1.2%
Harmen Rockler 1.6% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 4.3% 4.2% 6.6% 14.0% 25.1% 39.0%
Margaret McMullen 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 2.5% 6.4% 8.8% 16.0% 24.2% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.