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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+4.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47+3.35vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+5.27vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.37+8.61vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.90+2.03vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-0.71vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.79+4.24vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.36-2.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73-1.25vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.36+3.02vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60-2.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.67vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.64+2.43vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.54-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.41-6.22vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-5.34vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.79-5.63vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.35Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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12.61Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.03Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.29Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.24Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.42Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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13.02Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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8.32College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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15.43University of Michigan-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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11.37Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% |
| Audrey Foley | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Emily Doble | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 9.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Callie Davis | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 42.8% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lina Carper | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.