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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+8.03vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+3.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+2.26vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63+3.91vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+3.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.73+1.72vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.89vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.79+2.13vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.36-4.33vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-5.56vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.14+1.66vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.90-6.09vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.79-3.18vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.37-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.64-0.46vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.65vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.36-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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5.06Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.26Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.91Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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11.13Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.67Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.44Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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13.66University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.91Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.82Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.59Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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15.54University of Michigan-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.44Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lina Carper | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Emily Doble | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 12.1% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 14.3% |
| Audrey Foley | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.9% |
| Callie Davis | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 40.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 22.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.