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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+6.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+3.35vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+2.00vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+6.34vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.79+6.09vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.91vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.73+0.68vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.63-0.07vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.47-3.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14+3.53vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.37+1.75vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.36-6.25vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.60-4.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.03vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.79-3.87vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-6.92vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.36-4.23vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.64-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.35Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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11.09Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.1Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.53University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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12.75Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.75Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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13.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.13Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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12.77Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Michigan-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Marina Conde | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 13.1% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% |
| Emily Doble | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 18.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Callie Davis | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.