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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+8.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47+3.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+2.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.73+3.54vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.90+1.12vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.60+1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.71vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-4.13vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14+2.45vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.63-3.74vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.05vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.79-3.10vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.79-3.85vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.64-0.50vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.36-4.21vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.37-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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5.29Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.59Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.25Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.12Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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4.87Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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14.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.9Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.15Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Michigan-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.79Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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12.45Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Slovensky | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Harned | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| bella casaretto | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.9% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 13.5% |
| Marina Conde | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Callie Davis | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 39.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.3% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.