← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.56+4.09vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.47+3.34vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.63+5.27vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.43+1.22vs Predicted
-
5Yale University1.90+2.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.90vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.36-1.46vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.73-0.34vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+5.34vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston1.60-1.64vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.37+1.79vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-1.15vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.14vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University0.79-3.09vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.14-1.59vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University1.08-5.77vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.36-4.21vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan-0.64-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.09Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.34Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.27Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
-
5.22Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.07Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
-
8.9University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
-
5.54Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.66Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
14.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.36College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
-
12.79Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
-
10.91Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
-
13.41University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
10.23Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.79Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
15.38University of Michigan-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 14.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emily Doble | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 20.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Lina Carper | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.6% |
| Callie Davis | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.